Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 55.198526 63.006268 71.069320 79.984436 89.532709 99.421712 110.407153
2025-04-13 41.916156 52.753438 64.553368 78.214841 93.462302 109.834769 128.625098
2025-04-20 36.645544 49.450219 63.911530 81.165223 100.922086 122.598538 147.946376
2025-04-27 32.156273 46.289829 62.787951 82.990697 106.625532 133.013966 164.332801
2025-05-04 27.400407 42.185956 60.032742 82.447972 109.206786 139.567336 176.084865
2025-05-11 23.335512 38.460033 57.329455 81.606242 111.132249 145.120537 186.486362
2025-05-18 20.555975 36.077041 56.025834 82.232827 114.611894 152.333197 198.685143
2025-05-25 17.729897 33.318972 53.997350 81.750014 116.581979 157.639814 208.561852
2025-06-01 15.584655 31.277301 52.717607 82.055519 119.392374 163.853755 219.437330
2025-06-08 13.279655 28.743056 50.580679 81.094324 120.501536 167.927732 227.703323
2025-06-15 11.981730 27.594098 50.233366 82.384192 124.370334 175.301354 239.882308
2025-06-22 10.866256 26.608583 50.027232 83.795151 128.348049 182.783423 252.184477
2025-06-29 9.257440 24.645751 48.326657 83.147253 129.686970 187.061411 260.701198
2025-07-06 7.489271 22.157695 45.681663 81.073069 129.080492 188.864053 266.170258
2025-07-13 7.115856 22.155091 46.745364 84.128607 135.173965 199.024070 281.858517
2025-07-20 6.514671 21.641704 46.978020 85.986588 139.675293 207.188470 295.114032
2025-07-27 5.490604 20.139607 45.566048 85.433319 140.922641 211.219069 303.261723
2025-08-03 4.538040 18.611529 44.000511 84.573401 141.696277 214.605771 310.583862
2025-08-10 3.947796 17.771601 43.494985 85.213437 144.464784 220.518656 321.038862
2025-08-17 3.256902 16.551158 42.265670 84.720279 145.646438 224.370121 328.907785
2025-08-24 2.760502 15.700227 41.604583 85.032331 147.903082 229.589944 338.484499
2025-08-31 2.173739 14.441910 40.135011 84.050504 148.322379 232.399035 345.011585
2025-09-07 1.909280 14.042228 40.175835 85.368036 151.935950 239.364175 356.789934